Truthout Original

Swift Boat Economics

by: Dean Baker, t r u t h o u t | Perspective

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Former Senator-turned-lobbyist Phil Gramm (left) served as economic policy adviser to Sen. John McCain's presidential campaign until he made disparaging remarks about Americans facing economic hardships. (Photo: Politico / AP)

    In the last election, the Republicans invented their brilliant Swift boat strategy to get George W. Bush back in the White House. Challenged by a decorated Vietnam War veteran, President Bush, who couldn't be bothered in serve in a war that he supported, took the offensive. He enlisted a group of right-wingers to invent stories impugning Kerry's integrity and service record.

    The media completely failed in their responsibility to the public and treated the lies invented by the Swift boaters with respect. The country was then treated to a he said, she said, in which Kerry had to defend himself against lies fabricated from whole cloth.

    Senator McCain now faces a similar situation in this election. He is stuck running on the record of a president who is presiding over an economy that is sinking into recession and is facing the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. By contrast, Senator Obama can claim the legacy of the strong economy of the Clinton years.

    Tarred with the most dismal record of job creation and income growth of any president since the Great Depression, it would be reasonable to expect that Senator McCain would be defensive on the economy; but not in Swift boat America.

    Instead Senator McCain is filling the airwaves with commercials telling the public that Obama's tax increases will slow growth and cost the economy jobs. It's pretty scary stuff to anyone who takes it seriously.

    Of course, there's no truth to Senator McCain's Swift boat economics. During the eight years of the Clinton administration, when rich people paid the same tax rates proposed by Senator Obama, the private sector added 15.8 million jobs. By contrast, in the seven years and six months of the Bush administration, when rich people paid the Bush-McCain tax rates, the private sector has added just 3.5 million jobs. And, it is losing jobs at the rate of almost 100,000 a month as President Bush prepares for retirement.

    While job growth is probably the most important measure of the economy's health, almost every other measure also showed that the economy performed better with the Clinton-Obama tax rate than the Bush-McCain tax rate. The real wage for the typical worker rose by 6.6 percent in the Clinton years. By contrast, wages have risen by just 1.0 percent in the Bush years and are now falling. At the current rate of decline, real wages will be lower In January of 2009 than when President Bush took office in 2001. The typical family's income rose by 15.3 percent under Clinton, it fell by 1.6 percent under Bush.

    In short, it is easy to show McCain's ad is utter nonsense. The economy had its most prosperous period in 30 years with the tax rates Obama is proposing. President Bush then cut taxes for the rich, and the economy turned in its worst performance since the Great Depression. While the tax rates are hardly the whole story behind the prosperity of the Clinton years or the economic deterioration of the Bush years, the record makes a mockery of the scare story in the McCain ad.

    So why would Senator McCain make an ad that is so obviously false? In Swift boat country, there is no place for truth. McCain knows he can say anything he wants, regardless of how untrue it is, and his claim will be treated seriously by the media.

    Reporters will now treat it as a debatable point whether the tax rates proposed by Obama will stifle growth and cost jobs. They will act as though Senator McCain has raised a serious point - perhaps Obama's tax plan really will hurt the economy. Reporters would actually have to know something about the economy, or at least arithmetic, to know that McCain's claims are utter nonsense.

    The public will have to teach the media. This is not a he said, she said. The economy has performed very well taxing rich people at the rates proposed by Senator Obama. Any reporter who suggests it is plausible to claim these tax rates will stifle growth and job creation is simply too ill-informed to be covering economic issues. Reporters should be telling the public Senator McCain's ads are contradicted by the facts, not pretending that they raise plausible concerns about the economy.

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Dean Baker is the co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR). He is the author of "The Conservative Nanny State: How the Wealthy Use the Government to Stay Rich and Get Richer" (www.conservativenannystate.org). He also has a blog, "Beat the Press," where he discusses the media's coverage of economic issues. You can find it at the American Prospect's web site.

Comments

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Gorelick Rubin johnson

Gorelick Rubin johnson Raines, Frank Dodd,Conrad obama This Housing Mess has Dem's fingerprints all over it. Greenspan says he detected a flaw in his economic philosophy....integrity of Dems. Predatory Lender #1-did they go after it-yeah they did-to get their sweetheart deals!! Don't blame this on the Republicans b/c the y dems are holding all the money!

Ignatz Farquad, right on.

Ignatz Farquad, right on. But you forget that Americans, moronic though we may be, actually voted for Gore, and probably also for Kerry. The GOP has had to use many strategies to keep power, and swift-boating is just one of them.

But we're forgetting two

But we're forgetting two things: Republicans are scum, who will stoop to anything to get elected; and Americans are morons, who believe the last thing they see in TV. The media have gotten their marching orders from the corporations: McCain will be president, no matter how many smears, lies and slanders he hurls at Obama, no matter how many senior moments he has on the campaign trail, no matter how many countries he threatens to bomb, or how ridiculous his economic policies are. Every utterance Obama makes is scrutinized and defaulted to the negative, every idiotic remark of McCain is treated like a serious talking point. His disgraceful, dishonest, vacuous, insulting ads are replayed again and again under the guise of reportage ("let's have another look at that controversial McCain spot,"), while Obama's tepid and late replies (Obama's campaign is obviously taking its cues from Presidents Mondale, Dukakis, Gore and Kerry), barely get airtime then vanish. We still hear plenty about Rev Wright and Bill Ayers, nothing about the Keating Five and McCain's other crooked deals and extortion-style fundraising, of which there is no shortage. Americans will be getting the President they deserve in John McCain: a senile stooge of big business, an unabashed warmonger, and another Rep[ublican crook. Good Luck!

Check out the relative

Check out the relative performance of northern European economies vs that of the USA. There is a strong positive correlation between the tax rates and the economic performance. This might better provide the basis for a report at Truthout than a comment on the blog list.

Lies, lies, lies, and more

Lies, lies, lies, and more lies! McCain, who owns SEVEN houses, is calling Obama elitist. McCain tells us he is an environmentalist. Can anybody find an environmental bill he voted for? The League of Conservation Voters published how Senators voted on 15 pieces of key environmental legislatiion. How many did McCain vote for? ZERO. He didn't vote against them either -- he just didn't vote. That's how much he is going to protect the environment -- about as much as Bush does.

To anonymous "What I don't

To anonymous "What I don't get..." Thats right, go off point and change the subject. You completely missed the point of the commentary. Of course thats what Republicans do when they lose the argument. They change the subject or refuse to answer the question. Your point of Obama had nothing to do with the Clinton economy does nothing to disqualify him from achieving the same economy. Your just afraid what Dean Baker says is true,which it obviously is, and Swift Boat his argument. If you stand the heat don't even get in the kitchen.

Just recently McCAIN SAID HE

Just recently McCAIN SAID HE DIDN'T KNOW MUCH ABOUT ECONOMICS and now he's an expert, NOT!!!hAVEWN The USA has become a Fascist State according to Mussolini's definition, who is the creator of modern day FASCIST CORPORATISM.

I accept the concept of

I accept the concept of "trickle down" as a clear and informative analogy descriptive of real life. The problem, however, is it is too descriptive, for what has happened is that the lower and middle classes "received" only a trickle--- not a flow, or a gusher, or a flood of wealth. The trickle was not enough to keep up with commodity expenses, nor the good life, nor rental priorities, nor occasional medical needs. Hence, the results Mr. Baker describes. And some people got less than a trickle, or suffered loss. The marks around "received" indicate that the proper verb should have been "worked for." In other words, progressive media should not deny trickle down, they should run with it.

Anonymous writes: "What I

Anonymous writes: "What I don't get here is how you link the Clinton era to Obama. Obama wasn't elected to national office until 2005. He only first won state office in Illinois in 1998, two years into Clinton's second term. It seems a bit sly to speak of a "Clinton-Obama" tax rate when Obama had no say in the matter." Reading Comprehension 101, Anonymous. What Baker wrote was: ". During the eight years of the Clinton administration, when rich people paid the same tax rates proposed by Senator Obama, the private sector added 15.8 million jobs. " Get it? Obama is proposing a tax structure similar to the one that existed during the Clinton administration. There's no suggestion that Obama had anything to do with the Clinton tax rates -- just that he's proposing a similar tax structure now. Not really that hard, as long as you remember to read all the words.

Your quote Dean; "America

Your quote Dean; "America has Socialism for the Rich and Free Markets for the Middle Class and the Poor". I have been screaming about just the plain irrationality of old Arthur Laffer's "Laffer Curve” or the "Bell Curve" as it was called when Regan pitched back in the early 80s. Does anyone remember David Stockman? Goggle him. How about the term "Voodoo Economics" used buy Bush the First when he ran against Regan in the primary. And of course who can forget the term we have all learned to endear "Trickle Down". Well, I'm still waiting for my TRICKLE. Where's my TRICKLE? Fact is this whole argument is about fluff. One man named Evelyn Rothschild holds somewhere in the neighborhood of 50-75 TRILLION bucks, half the world's wealth. The Forbes 500 are chumps to who really controls the puppet strings on this stage. Bottom line is until we get rid of the Fed, note Lincoln tried, Kennedy tried, see what it got them, but until the Fed is removed as our central bank and the Treasury takes over the function of printing and redeeming currency we will forever be in debited to the Bankers. Sorry.

I built a radio station. So

I built a radio station. So let me tell you that if you want to make a difference, focus your efforts on the ultimate "deciders" - the Board of Directors of the institution you target. The "management" is in fact a pack of "employees" unless they own the company and/or sit on the Board of Directors. Also target the funders of that media outlet. Go to the Board meetings of your targets (media and those foundations or companies that fund the media). Record them. Put them on YouTube etc. (if they are open to the public). ASK them questions and call ahead to be placed on their "public comment" roster for that portion of their meeting. KEEP IN MIND THAT THE BOARD MEMBERS WILL NOT ALL BE OF ONE MIND. So don't make the mistake of damning language that lumps them all together, or else they will unify behind their strongest leader against YOUR POINTS. You won't necessarily know which Board Member(s) sympathise with you, but assume that there are possibly one or two or a block. Your comments could be used by sympathetic board members against other board members AFTER YOU HAVE LEFT. So use your language appropriately. If that board has a community advisory board, be asked to be appointed to that board (really a committee). And your "nuclear weapon"? Any anecdotes or facts (with citations) that show that they are BECOMING IRRELEVANT. That is what any media fear the most. They enjoy your protests and boycotts because that means you are talking about them. That's attention. That's their oxygen. If instead ... silence. Nobody cares? That's worse! So show them that as they fail to address issues, people are turning to other means and that they are becoming irrelevant. And MAKE THEM IRRELEVANT: A "window" to apply to build your own community radio station is rumored to be coming up soon. Google "Low Power FM" and plan to BECOME THE MEDIA. Put on Amy Goodman in every major voting district in the United States and these conversations will be VERY DIFFERENT in a few years!

Break on through to the

Break on through to the other side and put the details of this issue aside. Help Dennis Kucinich, a hundred thousand people, and other strong leaders to impeach, starting at the top, for well established and very clear reasons. The dark force is too strong to face directly. Instead, mimic natural law. Choose the course with externalized profits as often as possible. Cordially, Garrett

What I don't get here is how

What I don't get here is how you link the Clinton era to Obama. Obama wasn't elected to national office until 2005. He only first won state office in Illinois in 1998, two years into Clinton's second term. It seems a bit sly to speak of a "Clinton-Obama" tax rate when Obama had no say in the matter.

It somewhat amazes me that

It somewhat amazes me that they are still trotting out the "tax breaks for the wealthy spurs investment which in tun creates jobs" line. What amazes me even more is the fact that so many "working class" Americans are still buying into it, in utter disregard for all of the evidence to the contrary, especially in their own lives. Since it has only been around 30 years since President Reagan sold them this policy, perhaps we just haven't given it enough time.

This commentary perpetuates

This commentary perpetuates the myth of an independent media manned by independent professional journalists. This is less true today than even in William Randolph Hearst's day. The corporate owned and controlled and manipulated media took up the Swiftboat lies because it served the interests of their owners, including the Australian, Murdoch, and the self interests of their corporate clients. Most media journalists have long since sold out and are no better than the PR flacks they like to look down upon. One has to go to the Internet and the public radio programs like Democracy Now to hear anything resembling coverage of the news. The lies about the need to provide "balanced" coverage are also a disingenuous way to provide a radical right wing perspective that is supposedly balanced by a right wing perspective. The founding fathers understood the importance of a free press to a healthy republic. What has transpired with the lack of an independent Congress, is the consolidation of the media into the hands of few powerful interests. Very little of the press can be considered to be free today.

If Obama were actually a

If Obama were actually a progressive, antiwar voice for workers, and not a bought-and-paid corporate tool I might actually care about him being "swift boated." But regardless of the merit of the scurrilous attacks against him, there are plenty of genuine lies and betrayals that he is guilty of--and therefore is not worthy of the Progressive vote. Cynthia McKinney or Ralph Nader are our only real choices. Obama is a fraud and an illusion.

Unless we begin to demand

Unless we begin to demand the truth as we know from media, public policy makers and each other, the lies and spins concocted and fed to the American people will continue to dominate. With no accountability for our words and deeds, with the majority of Americans simply unable or unwilling to separate truth from lies, we are likely to continue to get what we've been getting - to think otherwise is insanity. With large numbers of Americans actually paying attention to the likes of Fox "News", Rush Limbaugh, Michael Savage, I am losing hope. God help our children.

mcain's low/0 taxes policies

mcain's low/0 taxes policies are unpatriotic and shameful. just as citizens serve their country in military service, so should citizen responsibility serve and uphold their country financially. this brings the infrastructure and services to ensure the country is enabled and lives well. as the saying: 'jet sound is the sound of freedom--[taxes pay for] yours and my [sound of]freedom...roads, schools, hospitals, fire departments, police departments, emergency services, etc...' think about it. anyone trying to shave off tax responsibilities should be absolutely ashamed: either promoting decreasing tax formats or incorporating overseas... the corporations that benefit the most from our country's infrastructures and military [to mention only two] should voluntarily pay more taxes. these corporations have no pride. taxes are not a capitalistic commodity of 'choice' but the lifeblood of the nation. it is noticeable that tax 'cuts and trimmings' are always mentioned in phrase with 'small business', 'homeowner', 'farmers'...along with mention of the 'death tax' as if every successful one of these will be affected? they will not, because their incomes are not sufficient. but they get frightened by these confusions, are not encouraged to think through that there 'is no free lunch'--like the country is going to run on nothing! these propaganda try to reverse the rule that those who enjoy the benefits of this country should not contribute and pay for it.